{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "exact_public_entry_sha256": "b3192a8f51a301552a2b0953539bfb349c03e2725ef51530a219ff5f02957cc9",
  "reviewed_at": "2026-08-12T22:09:34.102205+00:00",
  "public_redaction": "This receipt preserves the reviewer verdict, opinions, grades, recommendations, and disagreements while removing private execution and account details from the public copy.",
  "private_source_receipt_sha256": "02612cf450006e8f66a548ad91cc3949d5df171d4a427000196f8235b24cc600",
  "model_route": {
    "model_id": "grok-4.5",
    "provider": "xai-oauth",
    "auth_type": "device_code OAuth"
  },
  "result": {
    "model_identity": "Grok 4.5 via xAI OAuth",
    "provider": "xAI",
    "reviewed_entry_sha256": "b3192a8f51a301552a2b0953539bfb349c03e2725ef51530a219ff5f02957cc9",
    "verdict": "PASS",
    "publication_safety": {
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "privacy_opinion": "Public surface stays clean: empty positions, zero closed trades, hash-only receipts, and no quantities, fills, balances, NLV, or absolute dollar P&L. Aggregate marked/realized basis-relative P&L is a coarse band only, which is acceptable given the already-disclosed ~six-figure virtual basis; unrealized is an honest flat zero. Symbol names appear only as unresolved research dispositions without size or price reconstruction handles.",
      "statistical_opinion": "Statistically honest. Binding story is infrastructure failure and halt, not edge. Zero matured brackets, empty deterministic ledger, correlated sector-pair cohort clustering, low-information late QQQ shadow, and explicit separation of shadows from expectancy/fills/unlock are stated without alpha framing. Tiny and unresolved samples are not dressed up as results.",
      "issues": [],
      "required_changes": []
    },
    "strategy_critique": {
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "opinion": "Correct fail-closed day: flat cash is the only integrity-compliant outcome while quote guards, entry artifacts, observation round-trip, exit-schema validation, and unlock-contract migration remain broken. The executable aggressive book is still one pooled level/VWAP family wearing two labels; that monoculture call is right and must stay unpromoted. Highest leverage is not a new entry idea—it is proving registration→ledger→report parity and freezing complete three-arm exit blocks before any scoring resumes. Sector-pair is the best distinct shadow; quality MR and puts are correctly blocked before observation one / capability collection. Keep disagreements about reclaim iterate-vs-shadow-primary unresolved in public; do not resolve them by loosening gates.",
      "mechanism_overlap": "Day-two continuation and negative-catalyst reclaim collapse to the same completed level-break/reclaim + VWAP confirmation family. Same-session sector-pair legs are one correlated decision-date cohort, not two independent observations. Late underlying QQQ breakdown is not an options-continuation observation. Labels still outrun mechanism diversity.",
      "missed_alternatives": [
        "Post-event gap-fill mean reversion (>2.5 ATR non-structural gap, failed first-hour extension, close back inside range; counter-direction to day-two continuation)",
        "Earnings implied-move mispricing (gap vs ex-ante ATM straddle; requires point-in-time option snapshots before scoring)",
        "Cross-sectional multi-week momentum in a frozen liquid universe with skip period and SPY/random controls",
        "Overnight vs intraday SPY/QQQ decomposition as measurement-only session attribution, never an order lane"
      ],
      "current_strategy_grades": [
        {
          "name": "Pooled level and VWAP reclaim",
          "grade": "iterate",
          "reason": "Only named executable aggressive family, but under integrity halt with n=0 ledger rows and no promotion evidence; keep as shadow research, pool labels, demand matched controls and complete exit arms before any score resumes."
        },
        {
          "name": "Sector-pair relative-value reversion",
          "grade": "shadow",
          "reason": "Best genuinely distinct mechanism on the board; freeze registry/residual/horizon/controls and treat today's XLU/XLV marks as one open correlated cohort, not expectancy."
        },
        {
          "name": "Quality three-lower-close mean reversion",
          "grade": "shadow",
          "reason": "Blocked before observation one until liquid-quality universe and fields are versioned; correct two-arm falsification vs random same-universe control."
        },
        {
          "name": "Observation persistence and exit-schema enforcement",
          "grade": "keep",
          "reason": "First gate, not a market strategy. Empty ledger + incomplete v2 exit blocks are the binding defect; no market family should score until parity and validators pass."
        },
        {
          "name": "Index or sector put continuation",
          "grade": "shadow",
          "reason": "Capability-blocked (pagination/join), not zero market evidence. Underlying-only diagnostics must never mint option N or order authority."
        }
      ],
      "bounded_recommendations": [
        {
          "name": "Sandbox observation round-trip pre-flight",
          "mode": "MEASUREMENT_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "Isolated temp DB copy; invoke real backfill writer once; capture row counts and exceptions verbatim; require learning-report nonempty family list when registrations exist; delete sandbox; never insert diagnostic rows into production.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Production ledger row count and learning-report families=[] baseline before pre-flight; success is registration→control→ledger→report parity with journal-ID idempotency.",
          "minimum_sample": "1 clean end-to-end prospective registration in sandbox plus 1 replay of an archived integrity fixture (DIS dislocation / trade-through).",
          "promotion_rule": "Only after sandbox parity: separately reviewed production backfill with exact journal-ID parity and idempotency proof may run; scoring unfreezes only when deterministic rows are nonzero and match registrations.",
          "kill_rule": "Any writer exception, zero rows after registered observations, or report/ledger mismatch halts new shadow registrations and publishes the first failing component; no market-evidence scoring while broken."
        },
        {
          "name": "Sector-pair residual reversion shadow",
          "mode": "PAPER_SHADOW_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "Versioned pair registry before next episode; 20-session residual/z-score; |z|>=2.0 entry; |z|<=0.5 or five-session exit; beta-neutral notional; news flag; non-overlapping episodes; today's XLU/XLE and XLV/XLK remain one August 12 cohort under frozen horizons.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Unhedged laggard leg, SPY same window, and sub-threshold same-pair crossings.",
          "minimum_sample": "40 non-overlapping resolved pair episodes across at least four frozen pairs.",
          "promotion_rule": "Conservative hedged mean R > +0.10 vs controls, |corr(SPY)| < 0.30, and no pair >30% of positive R before paper-executable review only.",
          "kill_rule": "Mean R <= 0, |corr(SPY)| > 0.40, or sign flip after removing best pair at n=40 retires the family."
        },
        {
          "name": "Pooled reclaim three-arm exit measurement",
          "mode": "PAPER_SHADOW_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "On next integrity-eligible reclaim registrations only: freeze bracket control, 50% at +1.5R then breakeven remainder, and 2-ATR trail after +1R with ATR timeframe/period/value/source bars/ratchet/next-bar; reject incomplete v2 blocks; no backfill onto WMT/QQQ/open marks.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Original 2:1 bracket as execution control; same-timestamp symbol control or cash; conservative 0.15R haircut series reported beside optimistic marks.",
          "minimum_sample": "10 triggered family events with all three arms machine-checkable; 20 filled pooled long outcomes for any demotion gate.",
          "promotion_rule": "No strategy promotion from this series; exit-arm change requires conservative mean R lift vs bracket control at pre-registered n and separate owner review. Aggressive size remains locked.",
          "kill_rule": "Incomplete exit block accepted by validation, missing artifact hash/bytes, or quote-integrity failure immediately freezes new aggressive registrations; conservative mean R <= 0 at 20 fills demotes both reclaim labels to shadow-only."
        },
        {
          "name": "Option chain pagination capability audit",
          "mode": "MEASUREMENT_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "SPY/QQQ stage audit with raw contract pages, raw snapshot pages, join counts, 21-60 DTE, OI>=500, two-sided quote, spread<=10%; paginate until stable; underlying-only rows never count.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Qualified capability count over 10 attempts; tool-blocked vs true zero-liquidity labeled separately.",
          "minimum_sample": "10 paginated audits with retained page receipts.",
          "promotion_rule": "Lane may leave tool-blocked only after sustained qualified chain evidence; still shadow-only until separate option-R experiment is frozen. No order authority.",
          "kill_rule": "Repeated page mismatch or join failure keeps qualified count 0/10 and retires active option-continuation research until tooling is fixed."
        }
      ],
      "disagreements_to_preserve": [
        "Fable vs Grok on whether reclaim should stay iterative research under halt versus become shadow-primary while integrity is red—public correctly leaves allowlist unchanged and entries halted.",
        "Config/governor still requires 20 eligible aggressive closes at >= +0.30R average while owner directive points at three eligible closes with positive average R; contradiction is an execution-integrity gate, not a license to pick the easier threshold.",
        "Registry/label diversity vs sampled-evidence monoculture: multiple named lanes do not equal independent mechanisms until ledger rows exist by family."
      ]
    },
    "explicit_confirmation": {
      "exact_entry_reviewed": true,
      "hard_gates_unchanged": true,
      "no_order_authority": true
    },
    "summary": "PASS both tracks. Public candidate is privacy-safe and statistically sober: flat paper book, coarse basis-relative band only, unresolved/correlated shadows not sold as alpha, halt binding on empty ledger and integrity gaps. Strategy posture is correct fail-closed monoculture diagnosis; next work is measurement/sandbox parity, frozen sector-pair shadows, complete three-arm exit validation, and option pagination receipts—no orders, no gate loosening, no promotion."
  }
}