{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "exact_public_entry_sha256": "70fda9ae31b1f0172fb9168c67ccb03a85555e34906267130dfff7d78fe72034",
  "reviewed_full_candidate_sha256": "76da1a50a0f27fbcb439bf670b99c153201e79ae0b8c61d4d6896ba8c8fca810",
  "reviewed_at": "2026-08-11T22:05:55.041813+00:00",
  "model_route": {
    "model_id": "grok-4.5",
    "provider": "xai-oauth",
    "auth_type": "device_code OAuth"
  },
  "result": {
    "model_identity": "Grok 4.5 via xAI OAuth",
    "provider": "xAI",
    "reviewed_entry_sha256": "76da1a50a0f27fbcb439bf670b99c153201e79ae0b8c61d4d6896ba8c8fca810",
    "verdict": "PASS",
    "publication_safety": {
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "privacy_opinion": "Public text stays inside paper-mode percentages of a virtual basis, empty positions, trade counts, and ticker-level process notes. No account or order identifiers, absolute dollars, balances, NLV, prices, share counts, or paired position-level percentages that would reconstruct sizing.",
      "statistical_opinion": "The entry is statistically honest: n=2 standard closes, both losses, one execution-contaminated path, incomplete exit telemetry on the other, zero qualified observation-ledger rows, and explicit separation of pre-trigger failures, fill-model-dependent shadows, capability-blocked outcomes, and cross-epoch basis. Contaminated and tiny samples are framed as integrity defects, not alpha.",
      "issues": [],
      "required_changes": []
    },
    "strategy_critique": {
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "opinion": "The book is not showing edge; it is showing process failure under a reclaim monoculture. Halting new aggressive entries, locking size, refusing ledger-empty promotion, and forcing causal-fill plus quote-integrity receipts is the correct posture. Standard reclaim may keep unchanged controls only as a non-promoted paper lane; it has not earned belief. Sector-pair relative-value is the right highest-priority distinct shadow family. Measurement infrastructure before strategy judgment is non-negotiable.",
      "mechanism_overlap": "Pooled level/VWAP reclaim still absorbs day-two continuation, negative-catalyst reclaim, and most recent sampled names into one completed-bar break/reclaim-plus-confirmation mechanism. Same-session clusters are correlated evidence, not independent trials. Lane labels are not diversification while non-reclaim families remain at zero qualified rows.",
      "missed_alternatives": [
        "Quality large-cap three-lower-close mean reversion with a magnitude arm and random same-universe control",
        "Post-event gap-fill reversion kept strictly separate from day-two continuation",
        "Cross-sectional multi-week momentum with versioned universe, skip, and cost model",
        "Earnings implied-move mispricing only after causal prior-close option snapshot coverage is proven"
      ],
      "current_strategy_grades": [
        {
          "name": "Pooled level and VWAP reclaim",
          "grade": "shadow",
          "reason": "Contaminated exit path, overnight noise-scale stop fragility, empty qualified ledger, and mechanism monoculture. Keep unchanged standard controls only under the aggressive halt; no promotion, tuning, or unlock evidence from current rows."
        },
        {
          "name": "Sector-pair relative-value reversion",
          "grade": "keep",
          "reason": "Genuinely less index-like residual mechanism and the correct under-sampled priority; remains shadow-only with frozen registry, controls, and kill rules."
        },
        {
          "name": "Observation round-trip and gate counterfactuals",
          "grade": "keep",
          "reason": "Binding defect is evidence throughput and same-timestamp control validity, not another alpha label. Measurement-only; gate counterfactuals must never auto-loosen hard gates."
        },
        {
          "name": "Index or sector put continuation",
          "grade": "shadow",
          "reason": "Zero qualifying index/sector observations; single-name references do not count. Capability collection only, no paper order authority."
        }
      ],
      "bounded_recommendations": [
        {
          "name": "Causal fill and quote-integrity gate before any reclaim scoring",
          "mode": "MEASUREMENT_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "Count only broker-causal fills with timestamped bid/ask/last, quote age, spread-to-risk, trigger source, and rejection of trade-dislocated, zero-sided, crossed, or stale quotes; cluster same-session reclaim names as one cohort.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Contaminated or incomplete-telemetry exits as excluded diagnostics versus clean causal-fill cohort; matched same-timestamp cash or non-trigger control.",
          "minimum_sample": "2 completed sessions for plumbing; 20 clean filled pooled reclaim outcomes before any demotion/promotion review; 10 matched-control pairs with geometry fidelity audit.",
          "promotion_rule": "None in this cycle. Scoring may resume only after plumbing success and conservative mean R > 0 on clean fills with control coverage >= 95%.",
          "kill_rule": "Any empty expectancy snapshot while registrations exist, backfilled control, or quote-integrity failure freezes strategy scoring and keeps new aggressive entries halted."
        },
        {
          "name": "Sector-pair relative-value reversion shadow priority",
          "mode": "PAPER_SHADOW_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "Versioned liquid sector-pair registry; 20-session residual/z-score; entry |z| >= 2.0; exit |z| <= 0.5 or five sessions; beta-neutral notional math; news flag; non-overlapping episodes; complete no-signal scan receipts.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Unhedged laggard leg, SPY over the same window, and sub-threshold same-pair crossings.",
          "minimum_sample": "40 non-overlapping episodes across at least four frozen pairs.",
          "promotion_rule": "Conservative hedged mean R > +0.10 versus controls, abs SPY correlation < 0.30, and no pair > 30% of positive R earns paper-executable review only.",
          "kill_rule": "Mean R <= 0, abs SPY correlation > 0.40, sign flip after removing best pair at n=40, or 5+5 no-signal scan infeasibility retires the threshold set or family."
        },
        {
          "name": "Gate-counterfactual ledger",
          "mode": "MEASUREMENT_ONLY",
          "frozen_setup": "When entry logic fires and a deterministic gate blocks it, prospectively register blocked geometry with gate name, causal fill convention, unchanged stop/target/horizon, and session cluster ID; no retroactive rows; no orders.",
          "benchmark_or_control": "Accepted same-family setups with identical geometry and horizon; report accepted mean R minus blocked mean R by gate.",
          "minimum_sample": "15 resolved counterfactuals per gate and >= 80% resolvability.",
          "promotion_rule": "A gate is evidence-supported if blocked paths underperform accepted setups by at least 0.15R conservatively; result may trigger owner/governor review only.",
          "kill_rule": ">20% unresolvable rows kills the ledger implementation; no result may automatically loosen risk, endpoint, sizing, liquidity, or integrity controls."
        }
      ],
      "disagreements_to_preserve": [
        "Fable: reclaim can remain cheap continuing research under standard controls once integrity tooling exists.",
        "Grok: reclaim should stay shadow-primary until clean causal fills, quote integrity, and matched controls exist; contaminated exits teach execution lessons, not edge.",
        "Unlock sample dissent: stricter long-horizon close count versus shorter owner directive remains an unresolved migration gate; size stays locked either way."
      ]
    },
    "explicit_confirmation": {
      "exact_entry_reviewed": true,
      "hard_gates_unchanged": true,
      "no_order_authority": true
    },
    "summary": "PASS both tracks. Public candidate is privacy-safe and statistically non-claiming; strategy posture correctly halts aggressive entries, locks sizing, treats reclaim as unproven monoculture, and confines learning to bounded paper/shadow measurement without order or risk-gate authority."
  }
}